Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003169 0.003481 0.003812 0.004193 0.004619 0.005081 0.005621
2026-01-25 0.002611 0.003041 0.003532 0.004137 0.004865 0.005718 0.006800
2026-02-01 0.002316 0.002806 0.003393 0.004151 0.005113 0.006305 0.007907
2026-02-08 0.002074 0.002592 0.003235 0.004099 0.005242 0.006722 0.008812
2026-02-15 0.001871 0.002399 0.003074 0.004012 0.005299 0.007030 0.009581
2026-02-22 0.001744 0.002289 0.003006 0.004031 0.005487 0.007516 0.010629
2026-03-01 0.001668 0.002237 0.003006 0.004137 0.005795 0.008189 0.012007
2026-03-08 0.001546 0.002112 0.002892 0.004069 0.005840 0.008475 0.012825
2026-03-15 0.001436 0.001995 0.002780 0.003991 0.005860 0.008718 0.013589
2026-03-22 0.001354 0.001911 0.002709 0.003966 0.005953 0.009075 0.014567
2026-03-29 0.001299 0.001862 0.002684 0.004007 0.006149 0.009609 0.015893
2026-04-05 0.001224 0.001778 0.002600 0.003947 0.006177 0.009865 0.016758
2026-04-12 0.001156 0.001703 0.002529 0.003909 0.006247 0.010217 0.017868
2026-04-19 0.001089 0.001626 0.002452 0.003857 0.006291 0.010529 0.018951
2026-04-26 0.001043 0.001579 0.002416 0.003871 0.006446 0.011050 0.020494
2026-05-03 0.000988 0.001514 0.002348 0.003822 0.006486 0.011362 0.021659
2026-05-10 0.000931 0.001443 0.002266 0.003742 0.006461 0.011548 0.022583
2026-05-17 0.000898 0.001408 0.002241 0.003760 0.006617 0.012093 0.024334
2026-05-24 0.000881 0.001400 0.002259 0.003858 0.006930 0.012977 0.026948
2026-05-31 0.000838 0.001344 0.002193 0.003795 0.006926 0.013218 0.028137
2026-06-07 0.000796 0.001289 0.002125 0.003723 0.006900 0.013408 0.029230
2026-06-14 0.000765 0.001250 0.002083 0.003699 0.006967 0.013803 0.030867
2026-06-21 0.000745 0.001231 0.002075 0.003737 0.007163 0.014493 0.033335